EP12 : Gap-Ups, No Follow-Through & Ultra-Low Volatility | July 23 (Wednesday)

23/07/2025 5 min Temporada 1 Episodio 12
EP12 : Gap-Ups, No Follow-Through & Ultra-Low Volatility | July 23 (Wednesday)

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Episode Synopsis

Welcome to EP12 of Trade Setup with TANMAY, your 5-minute prep before the markets open.Markets continue to gap up in the morning and fade mid-session. With volatility near record lows and clients overloaded on put shorts, is another trap brewing? Let’s dive in.Global Markets:Dow: +129 ptsS&P 500: Flat at 6,309Nasdaq: Still strong at 20,892Europe: Mixed — DAX down 1.1%, FTSE & CAC flatAsia: Strong open — Nikkei +3%, Taiwan, Hang Seng positiveIndian Markets:Gift Nifty: +78 pts at 25,164Expected open: Nifty around 25,150FII/DII Activity:FIIs: Sold ₹3,548 CrDIIs: Bought ₹5,239 CrMTD Net:FIIs: -₹22,185 CrDIIs: +₹30,730 CrVolatility Watch:21 July IV: ~8%31 July IV: ~9%August IV: ~10%Straddle (24 Jul @ 25,000): ₹134Implied range: 24,980 – 25,200Volatility is crushed. Range is tight. A breakout is due if direction strengthens.Sector View (TK Algo):Strength:CPSECapital MarketsSelect Finance & MetalsWeakness:FMCGInfraPharmaMidcapITNifty Signal: Still in Sell Mode on TK Algo & ScannerClient vs Pro Positioning:Clients:Long Futures: 97,000Short Calls: 23,000Short Puts: 4.08 lakhNet Long Bias: +3.08 lakh contractsPros:Futures Long: 15,000 (flat)Call Longs: 37,000Put Longs: 21,000Mild short bias via optionsTK’s Take:Daily gap-ups with no follow-through = cautionClients may get trapped again near openWatch 25,000–25,050 as buy zoneAvoid chasing highs; buy dips near supportDon’t force trades — wait for structure to developCalendars only work post-confirmationCommodities & Crypto:Gold (MCX): ₹99,217 — strongSilver: ₹1,40,778 — strongCrude & NatGas: Weak — sell modeBitcoin: ₹11,80,000 — bullishDollar Index: 97.51 — below 98USDINR: 86.36 (Res: 86.55, Sup: 86.10)New episodes drop every market morning by 8:30–8:45 AM IST.🎧 Trade Setup with TANMAY — your daily edge before the chaos begins.

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