Listen "EP10: Low Vols, Heavy Put Shorts, and Earnings Heat Up | July 21 (Monday)"
Episode Synopsis
Welcome to EP10 of Trade Setup with Tanmay, your 5-minute edge before Indian markets open. It’s a Monday filled with heavy results, weak volatility, and divergent institutional bets. TK breaks it all down.🔍Top Highlights:📉 Market Snapshot:Gift Nifty at 24,991 — down 40 pointsNifty closed Friday at 25,020, flirting with key support near 24,900Straddle (25,000) priced at ₹256 → 1 SD range:Upside: ~25,220Downside: ~24,840🌍 Global Cues:US Markets closed at record highsDow: 44,390Nasdaq: +10 ptsS&P: FlatEurope also ended higherDollar Index: 98.40 (cracked below 98.50)USDINR: 86.15 (resistance: 86.25, support: 85.90)📊 FII/DII Flows:FIIs net buy ₹374 Cr on FridayDIIs net buy ₹2,103 CrMTD:FIIs: -₹16,955 CrDIIs: +₹21,893 Cr📈 Earnings Flood This Week:Big names reported Friday: HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, RelianceToday’s expected results: Ultratech Cement, Havells, InterGlobe, Oberoi Realty, IDBI Bank, RBL Bank, and more📈 Sector Signals (TK Algo):Strength:RealtyPharmaFMCGCapital MarketsMetalsWeakness:BanksCPSC stocksMidcap & Smallcap⚙️ Volatility & Strategy:IVs near 52-week lows24 July: 9.7531 July: 9.94August: 10.72Bias: Consolidation with positive tiltCalendar spread (ATM): Trading at ₹126 → still viableBroken Wing Butterfly:Buy 24,700Sell 24,900 (x3)Buy 25,050 (x2)📌 Positioning (Clients vs Pros):Clients:Long Futures: 93,000 contractsCall Shorts: 35,000Put Shorts: 4.39 lakh → strong bullish stancePros:Long Futures: 18,000Long Calls: 28,000Long Puts: 2.26 lakh → playing downside risk“Heavy put shorts, ultra-low IVs, and upcoming earnings make this a week to stay nimble. Avoid naked shorts, play calendars, or explore broken-wing structures to define your risk.”Trade Setup with TANMAY drops every market morning by 8:45 AM.Like what you heard? Share it, follow the show, and tune in again tomorrow.Your daily trading prep — before the chaos begins.X : @TanmayKurtkotiInstagram : @TanmayKurtkoti_
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