Listen "EXPRESS MAIL: Union Pacific’s Surprise Merger Bid"
Episode Synopsis
How strong is your dividend growth portfolio? Send it to us for a free evaluation at [email protected]. Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing. In what may be the largest M&A deal of 2025 so far, Union Pacific ($UNP) has made a formal bid to merge with Norfolk Southern ($NSC). The proposed merger not only furthers the consolidation of the quasi-monopolistic railroad industry but also raises important questions about what it means for investors. Given the time we’ve spent highlighting Union Pacific as a model of dividend growth, we believe this surprise announcement warrants an early-stage analysis. In this Express Mail episode, Greg covers:[01:12] Merger Details Union Pacific makes a surprise $20B bid for Norfolk Southern—despite their past capital discipline.[03:54] Financial Analysis: Debt, EBIT, and Credit Ratings How the merger affects profitability, interest coverage, and debt loads.[10:29] Lessons from Canadian Pacific’s Kansas City Merger A similar deal that didn’t go quite as planned—and what it might signal for UNP.[15:36] Dividend Outlook: What Now? We break down whether the combined railroad can still deliver 7% dividend growth.[17:59] Final Thoughts Is Union Pacific now a total return story, not a dividend growth story? Why we’re holding through the uncertainty. 📩 Want your dividend portfolio reviewed?Email a list of your holdings (no dollar amounts necessary) to [email protected]’ll rate it from 1 to 5 and include a few helpful bullet points to show how well you're aligned with long-term dividend growth principles. Send us a textDisclaimer: This discussion is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X
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