The Real Estate Reckoning: Why Market Values Still Have Further to Fall

03/06/2025 28 min Episodio 17
The Real Estate Reckoning: Why Market Values Still Have Further to Fall

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Episode Synopsis

Economist Mark Vitner delivers a reality check on commercial real estate valuations and interest rates. Despite avoiding recession, property values remain 10-15% overpriced as the market adjusts to structurally higher rates. Vitner explains why the 10-year treasury will likely stay between 4.5-5.5%, discusses emerging geographic opportunities, and reveals why mixed-use developments in mid-sized cities present the best investment prospects. Essential listening for investors navigating today's repricing cycle.
Key Topics Covered:

Interest Rate Reality Check - Why current rates are actually low and headed higher
Geographic Market Analysis - Winners and losers in the post-COVID migration patterns
Debt Maturity Wall - How refinancing pressure will force realistic pricing
Mixed-Use Development Trends - Why lifestyle-oriented projects are capturing demand
Labor Market Dynamics - Hidden weaknesses in employment data affecting the economy

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