EP 22 : | Expiry Day | Tariff Jitters & Volatility Spike | 7 Aug ( Thursday )

07/08/2025 6 min Temporada 1 Episodio 22
EP 22 : | Expiry Day | Tariff Jitters & Volatility Spike | 7 Aug ( Thursday )

Listen "EP 22 : | Expiry Day | Tariff Jitters & Volatility Spike | 7 Aug ( Thursday )"

Episode Synopsis

The expiry starts on a weak note with Gift Nifty down 69 points around 24,561 — weighed down by continued FII selling and fresh US tariffs on oil imports.Despite a strong global setup (Nasdaq +1.2%, Dow Futures up), Indian markets are bucking the trend.Big Headlines:RBI kept repo rate unchanged at 5.5%U.S. slapped 25% tariffs on key oil-linked importsApple-led tech rally boosted NasdaqVolatility likely to rise into the second halfGlobal Markets Snapshot:Nasdaq: +1.2% | 21,169S&P 500: +0.73% | 6,345Dow Futures: +146 ptsAsia: Mixed, with Taiwan leading (+2.28%), while India underperformsBrent Crude: $67.50Gold: $3,381 | Strength returnsUSDINR: 87.73 | Near key 88 resistanceFII/DII Flows (6th Aug):FIIs: Sold ₹4,999 CrDIIs: Bought ₹6,794 CrMTD Net:FIIs: -₹10,954 CrDIIs: +₹18,207 CrEarnings Watch (250+ results today):Titan, LIC, Godrej CP, HPCL, GIC, BSE, Kalyan JewellersSector View (TK Screener):Weak: Pharma, IT, FMCG, Realty, Midcap, InfraNeutral/Bullish pockets: Capital Markets, select Finance & Bank Nifty stocksTK ALGO: Sell on both fast and slow signalsLevels to Watch:Open: 24,562Synthetic Futures: 24,577Straddle (24,650): ₹150 → Range: 24,700 / 24,450Support Zone: 24,500Resistance Flip Zone: 24,660–24,700Option Strategies:Broken Wing Butterfly @ 24,700 for expiry pinAvoid put selling early in the day — clients overloaded on putsVolatility Play: IVs rising → 7 Aug IV at 12.29, could open at 14+Positioning Snapshot: Clients:Long Futures: 1.4 lakhCall Longs: 1.29 lakhPut Shorts: 4.62 lakhNet Bullish: 5.91 lakh contractsPros:Call Shorts: 76kPut Longs: 1.71 lakhNet Bearish: 2.47 lakh contractsFutures: 18k long (negligible)Commodities:Gold (MCX): ₹98,795 – BuySilver: ₹1,13,906 – StrengthCrude: ₹5,817 – SellNatural Gas: ₹261 – WeakStay light in the morning. Wait for volatility spike post initial jerk. Avoid naked short vol trades. Market still in sell mode. Keep an eye on 24,500 for support.🎧 Listen now to prep your expiry day in 5 mins — clear levels, flows, sectors & trades.#TradeSetupWithTanmay | Daily at 8:30 AMYour edge before the chaos begins.

More episodes of the podcast Trade Setup with Tanmay - Your 5min edge before the chaos begins.