How to make a life-changing decision when all you have is the sparse and noisy data of an uncertain world? First, try posting on Lex. Lio Wong is a writer and cognitive scientist who lives in San Francisco. This story was written by Lio, and edited by Jackson Roach, Omar Etman, and Liza Yeager. It was produced and sound designed by Lio Wong, Jackson Roach and Liza Yeager. Additional editorial support from Annie Rosenthal and the Issue Two cohort. Support the showSignal Hill is a listener-funded nonprofit. Help us continue doing this work by signing up for a monthly membership, and we'll send you our special Inspirations Newsletter, and other nice things.

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