This bonus content is a reading from Platypus, the CASTAC Blog. The full post by Cydney Seigerman can be read at https://blog.castac.org/2023/04/making-forecasts-work-the-evolution-of-seasonal-forecasting-by-funceme-in-ceara-northeast-brazil/. About the post: For agricultural families in the sertão, or hinterlands, of Ceará, a forecast is wrong when it rains less (or more) in their community or municipality than what was “promised” by the forecast, and the highest probability becomes deterministic at a very fine scale. (This episode is available in additional languages on Platypus, The CASTAC Blog.)

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