This episode offer a comprehensive overview of the Shiller PE ratio, a key metric for valuing the stock market over the long term. They begin by tracing its intellectual origins from Graham and Dodd's concept of smoothed earnings to Robert Shiller and John Campbell's formal application to the S&P 500, explaining its calculation and primary advantage in reducing earnings volatility for a clearer valuation picture. The text then presents the ratio's historical record of predicting market declines, citing examples from the 1929 crash to more recent downturns, and quantitatively demonstrates its strong correlation with subsequent long-term returns. Finally, the sources critically examine modern critiques of the Shiller PE, addressing how changes in accounting, share buybacks, market composition (rise of technology), and interest rate environments may impact its relevance, before concluding with guidance on its strategic application for investors in the contemporary market.📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation————————————————————————Warren BuffettThe Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of LifeKindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqyHardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZWarren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dDHardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNusPaperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL————————————————————————Charlie MungerPoor Charlie’s AlmanackKindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VBHardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7Tao of Charlie MungerKindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akTHardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8ORInfluence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of PersuasionKindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqLHardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMiPaperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7————————————————————————Howard MarksThe Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4YgHardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8APaperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your SideKindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmbyHardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQqPaperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP————————————————————————Money PhilosophiesThe Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happinessKindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9uHardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGiPaperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcCLimited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGpSame as Ever: A Guide to What Never ChangesKindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcpHardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPnoPaperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHReThe Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and HappinessKindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7FHardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tfPaperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC————————————————————————Classic PrinciplesThe Intelligent InvestorKindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEvHardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXbSecurity Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and TechniquesKindle: https://amzn.to/442yKakHardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhgMargin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful InvestorCollector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd————————————————————————Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValueApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description! ❤️To support us and bring a Buffett Indicator App alive: https://www.gofundme.com/f/turning-buffetts-wisdom-into-a-daily-tool-for-investors 🎗️

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