The Fix Is In. Fixed over floating now that rate cuts are all but certain

09/09/2025 2 min Episodio 100
The Fix Is In.  Fixed over floating now that rate cuts are all but certain

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Episode Synopsis

Senior portfolio manager Tim Leary discusses how weaker job growth and strong bond market activity, coupled with tight spreads, support expectations for a September rate cut and continued favorable conditions for fixed-income markets.Weaker job data and key events like Jackson Hole and August payrolls pave the way for a September rate cut. Strong technicals in the US bond markets persist, with significant issuance and demand driving tighter spreads, lower yields, and favorable pricing. The S&P showed minor volatility, while the Russell 2000 demonstrated stronger risk sentiment, reflecting optimism in HY markets due to overlapping names. This leads us to prefer fixed coupons over variable in fixed income credit markets.