Listen "Connecticut Real Estate Market Weekly Insights (10-6-25)"
Episode Synopsis
This week’s Connecticut Real Estate Market Weekly Insights focuses exclusively on single-family homes statewide, with condos and multifamily to be covered in a future episode.📈 Market Snapshot – September Single-Family PerformanceMedian sale price: ~$462K — up 6.2% year over yearClosed sales: ~2,317 — up 4.3%Average sold-to-list ratio: 2.2% over asking, slightly lower than last yearMedian days on market: 20 days, up 2 days from 2024Average price per sq. ft.: ~$286 — up 5.1%Strongest activity: $200K–$599K price rangeLuxury segment ($1.2M+): Properties still selling, but with longer timelines and smaller premiumsOverall, prices and sales volume are up, competition remains strong, but bidding wars are cooling slightly compared to peak conditions.🔄 Market Activity & SeasonalitySales followed a classic rhythm — peaking in early summer, easing into fall but still outperforming last year. Higher-priced transactions made this year’s average sale price roughly 8% higher than 2024.🏠 Buyer Demand BreakdownSweet spot for speed and competitiveness remains $200K–$1.4MExample: $200K–$399K homes go under contract in ~13 days, selling ~3.5% over askingAbove $3M, average time-to-contract jumps to nearly a month, with minimal over-ask activity📊 Inventory & Months of SupplyNew listings: ~3,167 (+2.1% YoY)Pending sales: ~1,821 (–22.9% YoY) — a sign of greater buyer selectivityActive listings: ~4,389 statewideMonths of supply: 1.89 months — still firmly a seller’s marketTightest supply: $200K–$399K (1.27 months)Highest supply: $3M+ (8+ months)🏷️ Price Reductions~33% of active listings have had at least one price dropAverage reduction: just over 9%Once reduced, median time to offer drops to ~15 days🧭 Migration PatternsOutbound sellers: Florida (22%), New York (14%), Massachusetts (9%)Inbound buyers: New York remains dominant (42% of incoming), followed by MA, FL, RI, and CA16% of buyers came from out of state, down from peak pandemic highs💡 Local & National Housing NewsConnecticut launches a new online climate risk tool to help homeowners assess flood, wind, and pollution exposure beyond FEMA mapsHartford North End sees proposal for 27 new for-sale rowhouse unitsWaterbury moving forward with multi-million-dollar downtown redevelopment, including infrastructure upgrades, mixed-use conversions, and transit-centered revitalizationNew Haven advancing a 171-unit mixed-income apartment project in Ninth Square🌎 National Economic & Housing TrendsFannie Mae forecasts a mild U.S. recession by early 2026, but no major housing crashHome flipping profits hit a 17-year low, with ROI down to 25.1%Realtor.com projects October 12–18 as the “best week to buy” in 2025Mortgage spreads have cooled — keeping rates lower than Treasury yields suggest — with 2025 mortgage rates expected to hover between 5.75–7.25%
If you’re interested in buying, selling, or renting real estate anywhere within the State of Connecticut, please visit our website to see how we can assist you!
If you’re interested in buying, selling, or renting real estate anywhere within the State of Connecticut, please visit our website to see how we can assist you!
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