Talk on Expected Returns Part 2

02/12/2024 42 min

Listen "Talk on Expected Returns Part 2"

Episode Synopsis

This part 2 analyzes various asset classes and investment strategies, exploring historical returns and risk premia. The author examines equity risk premium, bond risk premium, and credit risk premium, investigating the factors that drive them and their predictability. Survey data on investor expectations are contrasted with objective measures, and the role of liquidity and tail risks (volatility, correlation, skewness) are explored. Finally, alternative investment strategies, such as momentum, carry trades, and value investing, are analyzed through the lens of risk, return, and behavioral biases.