What happens when the federal procurement system faces its most compressed year in decades?In this episode of The Future of GovCon, Jake Frazer sits down with Mike Derrios, former Senior Procurement Executive at the U.S. Department of State and one of the most experienced acquisition leaders in government. With 25 years across Air Force, TSA, Coast Guard, DHS, and State, Mike brings a rare inside view of what is coming for GovCon in 2025 and beyond.From the January RFP surge to the massive workforce shortage in the 1102 community, Mike explains how budget compression, workforce attrition, and global mission shifts will collide to reshape federal procurement.He also breaks down the transformation at the State Department, the USAID restructuring, the future of DIPS and global cap, and how the FAR rewrite will introduce a full year of ambiguity — and opportunity.Key questions explored:• Why will January bring a “deluge of RFPs” across federal agencies?• How should companies prepare for shortened timelines and faster bid cycles?• What does the 1102 staffing crisis mean for industry?• How will the State Department’s restructuring and USAID transfer reshape the market?• What should GovCon leaders understand about FAR reform and compliance in 2025?• Which programs and mission areas will grow — and which will contract?Key moments:(00:00) Why a compressed fiscal year will unleash a wave of RFPs (00:24) Holiday constraints and why “January is game on” for industry (01:22) Jake opens the episode and frames the GovCon ecosystem (04:02) Mike’s upbringing and how adversity led him to the Air Force (06:44) Becoming an enlisted Air Force contracting specialist (09:38) Leaving active duty as a single parent and entering industry (11:19) 9/11 and helping stand up TSA contracting from scratch (17:42) Leading TSA PreCheck expansion and early machine learning pilots (20:12) Moving to Coast Guard and tackling billion dollar recapitalization programs (24:22) Saving the Offshore Patrol Cutter program after Hurricane Michael (25:28) Transitioning to State Department as Senior Procurement Executive (29:23) How State absorbed 15 percent of USAID and what it means for industry (33:15) The reality of closing out USAID’s remaining 85 percent of work (35:30) Why global health programs are shifting toward bilateral agreements (36:55) DIPS, global cap, and what major re-competes will require (38:49) Why 2025 was a “quagmire” and what comes next (40:16) The 1102 talent crisis and why agencies lack capacity (42:02) The limits of shifting acquisition to GSA and category management (44:14) FAR overhaul: what changes, what doesn’t, and why 2025 will be messy (47:12) Why protests may increase during the transition year (53:07) Lean budgets, smaller ceilings, and scrutiny on requirements (55:02) Mike’s one word for the future of State Department: Malleable Subscribe to the podcast: https://pts.careers/podcast

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