Listen "Episode 6: Recession Watch: What the Leading Indicators Are Telling Us"
Episode Synopsis
Is a recession on the horizon—or are we just seeing shadows? In this episode, we dive deep into the economic data to decode the signals that matter most. From jobless claims to consumer sentiment, from manufacturing trends to commodity prices, we're breaking down six leading indicators that could reveal where the economy is truly headed in the coming quarters.
With most data still reflecting the pre-Liberation Day period, and first-quarter GDP weighed down by preemptive imports ahead of expected tariffs, it’s more important than ever to look closely at what’s driving the numbers. Are layoffs truly low? Are consumers losing confidence? And what do softening copper and oil prices say about global demand? As Reacher says, “details matter”—and in this episode, we show you why.
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With most data still reflecting the pre-Liberation Day period, and first-quarter GDP weighed down by preemptive imports ahead of expected tariffs, it’s more important than ever to look closely at what’s driving the numbers. Are layoffs truly low? Are consumers losing confidence? And what do softening copper and oil prices say about global demand? As Reacher says, “details matter”—and in this episode, we show you why.
Join my newsletter for weekly updates and insights into Economics.
https://www.johnesilvia.com/subscribe/
Twitter @JohnESilviaPhD https://x.com/JohnESilviaPhD
LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-e-silvia/
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