Listen "177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman"
Episode Synopsis
Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity.
Guild of the Rose:
Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures”
Guild workshop page 1
Guild workshop page 2
Guild workshop page 3
Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops
How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*.
Zvi On the Diplomacy AI
AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%).
0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees
1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations
1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info
1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner
2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad?
2:31:36 Thank the Patron!
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
Nope
Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)
0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Beautiful Math
Guild of the Rose:
Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures”
Guild workshop page 1
Guild workshop page 2
Guild workshop page 3
Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops
How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*.
Zvi On the Diplomacy AI
AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%).
0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees
1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations
1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info
1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner
2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad?
2:31:36 Thank the Patron!
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
Nope
Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)
0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Beautiful Math
More episodes of the podcast The Bayesian Conspiracy
250 – Making the Good Life with Matt Freeman
12/11/2025
249 – Red Heart and IABIED with Max Harms
29/10/2025
248 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay
15/10/2025
247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2
01/10/2025
246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1
17/09/2025
pre246 note
17/09/2025
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