US inflation and consumer sales data for April showed no signs of tariff pressures. US inflation was 2.3%, just above the 2% target, but over the next 12 months tariff hikes will push it up by 1-1.5%, as well as cause a slowdown in growth and higher unemployment levels. In SA, the Q1 2025 unemployment rate climbed to almost 33%, which was disappointing, although partly seasonal. In Budget 3.0 this week, government is likely to revise down the economic growth rate to 1-1.5% but no significant tax changes are expected.
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