"Bayesian Process-Tracing!": Dr Tasha Fairfield

31/08/2019 36 min
"Bayesian Process-Tracing!": Dr Tasha Fairfield

Listen ""Bayesian Process-Tracing!": Dr Tasha Fairfield"

Episode Synopsis

"You need to mentally inhabit the world of each hypothesis. Then, you need to ask whether new evidence makes the hypothesis more or less likely".

In this podcast, Dr Tasha Fairfield (Associate Professor at the LSE) explains how to do Bayesian process-tracing. We consider a cookie heist and state capacity in Peru!

If you're keen to learn more, read:
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/89261/
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/69203/
http://www.lse.ac.uk/international-development/people/tasha-fairfield