Onshoring & Office Shakeups: How Tariffs are Impacting CRE, ep. 457

30/04/2025 37 min
Onshoring & Office Shakeups: How Tariffs are Impacting CRE, ep. 457

Listen "Onshoring & Office Shakeups: How Tariffs are Impacting CRE, ep. 457"

Episode Synopsis

Is America really bringing manufacturing back? And what does that mean for real estate investors? In this episode of REady2Scale, Jeannette Friedrich is joined by Patrick Sentner, Executive Vice President at Colliers and longtime expert in office and industrial real estate. Together, they unpack how reshoring, power constraints, tenant behavior, and capital markets are transforming industrial and office site selection in 2025. From the behind-the-scenes dynamics of data centers to the rising cost of office buildouts, this conversation is full of actionable insights for passive investors, brokers, and developers navigating todayโ€™s complex commercial real estate landscape.

Key Takeaways:
- Onshoring is real, but power access now drives site selection. Tenants increasingly prioritize megawatt availability over geography due to AI and advanced manufacturing needs.

- States are becoming selective with incentives. Locations offering jobs with strong wages are winning competitive bids, while others shy away from low-job-impact data centers.

- Private equity is betting big on data center land. Investors are securing power-ready sites even before corporate tenants commit.

- Office buildouts now cost double. Tenants are facing $75 to $80 per square foot for basic improvements, driving new lease structuring and rate negotiations.

- Cap rates diverge by asset type. Class A office properties are seeing steep declines in value, some with cap rates as high as 15 percent, while industrial assets vary by location but are ticking up again.

- Blend and extend lease strategies are surging. Tenants are renegotiating terms for lower rates or rent relief in exchange for longer lease commitments, often amid distressed debt situations.

- Lenders are becoming de facto landlords. More tenants are navigating lease agreements directly with receivers and banks as buildings change hands.

- Conversions to housing are rarely viable. Despite calls to convert vacant office space into housing, construction costs and layout limitations often make it financially unfeasible.

- What passive investors should look for: Poorly capitalized buildings with strong physical infrastructure may offer distressed buying opportunities, especially if acquired directly from lenders at a steep discount.

This episode offers a rare, inside look at where industrial and office markets are heading and how investors can navigate the road ahead.


Timestamps
00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction
01:48 Current Trends in Industrial Site Selection
03:25 Power Requirements and State Incentives
10:20 Impact of Fed Rates on Office Leases
13:27 Challenges in Office Property Valuation
29:45 Lightning Round and Closing Remarks

Are you REady2Scale Your Multifamily Investments?
Learn more about growing your wealth, strengthening your portfolio, and scaling to the next level at www.bluelake-capital.com.

Credits
Producer: Blue Lake Capital
Strategist: Syed Mahmood
Editor: Emma Walker
Opening music: Pomplamoose

*๐˜‰๐˜ญ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ ๐˜“๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ข ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ. ๐˜—๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜Š๐˜—๐˜ˆ, ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ/๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices