Listen "Heating Up, Cooling Down, Preparing for What Comes Next "
Episode Synopsis
The week ahead should provide plenty of evidence of a continued heating up of the U.S. economy. The ISM and Markit surveys on Services activity should remain at strong levels while International Trade data, due out on Friday, could add to evidence of roughly 5% real GDP growth in the second quarter. Payroll Employment, also due out on Friday, should show a healthy, roughly 200,000 job gain with the Unemployment Rate potentially falling to a fresh 48-year low of 3.7%. Meanwhile, the Average Hourly Earnings of production and non-supervisory workers could accelerate to growth of 2.9% year-over-year, suggesting that the labor shortage is finally putting some upward pressure on wages.
More episodes of the podcast Notes on the Week Ahead
A Baseline Forecast for 2026
05/01/2026
Why Stocks are Outperforming the Economy
15/12/2025
Forecasting the Fed’s Forecasts
08/12/2025
The Outlook for Autos
01/12/2025
The Health of the Consumer
24/11/2025
The Importance of Navigation in the Dark
03/11/2025
ZARZA We are Zarza, the prestigious firm behind major projects in information technology.