January is usually a quiet time in politics but not this year: there are two big elections to be won (NSW and federal elections) and all sides of politics are vying for poll position. Every year is different but this year has been more different than most – it started off with an almost biblical fish kill in the Murray-Darling Basin; and there have been floods in the north and fires in the south. Just like it was predicted in the book of Leviticus.Climate change was a big factor in the 2018 by-elections and we think this will continue in 2019, with the political party doing the least about the environment, to be punished the most. In our humble opinion…It was all happening: Captain Cook and the culture wars, another Captain’s call in the seat of Gilmore, a franking credits farce, and a spate of ministerial resignations. Can they see the writing on the wall for the Liberal Party, or do they really want to spend more time with their families?We also focus on the Banking Royal Commission, the one the Liberal Party voted against 26 times. It's a net negative for the the Government and we can see why they tried to deflect all blame for the Royal Commission onto the Labor Party. But will it wash with the public? That's very unlikely, there's only a certain amount of misspoken mistruths the electorate can handle. We still think the Government will suffer a major defeat at the next election.

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