Listen "Will's Corner: Hardware Over Software?"
Episode Synopsis
One more convo about the State of Adventure! This one is with our close friend Will Quist at Slow Ventures. Will had Grant on their podcast to riff on Adventure Capital, Narrative Warfare, and much more.Will is one of the sharpest minds in venture, and we’re excited for you to tune into this convo.Grant Gregory and Cantos just dropped a 286-slide deep tech mega-deck. They swap inside baseball on narrative warfare, the voting vs weighing machine, and why “precision” in deep tech labeling matters (Waymo ≠ TLM ≠ Shinkai ≠ Anduril). Grant shows his two most important slides: the Deep Tech Score (levels from SaaS to “OpenAI before Transformers existed”) and the “narrative violation” where hardware’s capital-to-outcome multiples beat software in the data he compiled. Chapters: 00:48 Who is Grant? A16Z American Dynamism team → Cantos 01:36 Why capital finally “got the plot” on hard tech 03:13 The two most important slides: Deep Tech Score + Narrative Violation 04:20 Hardware vs software: the capital-intensity myth, with data 05:59 Narrative warfare: voting machine vs weighing machine 06:38 Anointment dynamics; operating between fundamentals and momentum 07:28 Can founders learn the voting machine? Authenticity over mimicry 09:44 Defense FOMO, IBM-ification of venture, and pre-signal markets 14:18 Defense exits: only a few true fund-returners; multi-product is required 17:21 Deck feedback: founders want a real definition of “venture scale” 18:45 Deep Tech Score criteria: risk types, hypothesis legibility, market maturity 22:22 Why concentrated, full-stack investing matters in non-consensus areas 24:32 Non-VC capital in SpaceX/Tesla/Anduril: the uncomfortable truth 29:31 Business physics: power, supply chains, leverage in physical industries30:13 Will’s take: Automation is a terrible investment vs services on top32:10 Advice to founders: narrative warfare + slow convictionKeep in touch with Slow Ventures: X: https://x.com/slowConnect with WillConnect with Grant🔗 Show Resource LinksThe full YouTube video of the conversation, and the tweetGrant’s tweet announcing the deckGrant’s LinkedIn post announcing the deck, and the full deck🎙️ Podcast LinksSpotifyApple PodcastsX (FKA Twitter)Subscribe🌀 About Motion BlurExploring what makes great companies and technologies work. Brought to you by Grant Gregory & Hammad Aslam. Grant is a Partner at Cantos where he focuses on physical world technologies. Hammad is a Partner at Kivu Ventures, Susa’s growth fund.Learn more about the hosts:Grant Gregory, EmbersHammad Aslam, Susa VenturesIntro music credit: Will HarrisonThanks for reading and listening to Motion Blur! Subscribe to get notified for future episodes.
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