Welcome to the October episode of Learn With A Lender with Joel Schaub of Guaranteed Rate!



In this episode Joel explains what the FED raise of the rates means for the real estate market in general. Joel discusses the importance of educating your clients and never give up. Joel also emphasizes the importance of building relationships between realtors and lending professionals. Last, D.J. and Joel explain Joel's Weekly Market Update and Lender Introduction Template is, how agents can subscribe for them.



If you’d prefer to watch this interview, click here to view on YouTube!



Joel can be reached at [email protected] and 773.654.2049.



This episode is brought to you by Real Geeks and FollowUpBoss.







Transcript



D.J. Paris 0:00Now that rates are above 7%. How are you talking about them with buyers and sellers? We're going to discuss that today. Stay tuned. This episode of Keeping it real is brought to you by real geeks. How many homes are you going to sell this year? Do you have the right tools? Is your website turning soft leads and interested buyers? Are you spending money on leads that aren't converting? Well real geeks is your solution. Find out why agents across the country choose real geeks as their technology partner. Real geeks was created by an agent for agents. They pride themselves on delivering a sales and marketing solution so that you can easily generate more business. Their agent websites are fast and built for lead conversion with a smooth search experience for your visitors. Real geeks also includes an easy to use agent CRM. So once a lead signs up on your website, you can track their interest and have great follow up conversations. Real geeks is loaded with a ton of marketing tools to nurture your leads and increase brand awareness visit real geeks.com forward slash keeping it real pod and find out why Realtors come to real geeks to generate more business again, visit real geeks.com forward slash keeping it real pod. And now on to our show.



Welcome to another episode of Keeping it real the largest podcast made by real estate agents and for real estate agents. My name is DJ Parris. I'm your guide and host through the show today, once again is our monthly series learn with a lender with Joel shop from guaranteed rate. Now Joel is the vice president of lending at guaranteed rate. And he's been doing loans at a high level since 2003. And he's gotten to that level because of what he does specifically for agents, which is he gives back part of his commission to the buyer on every transaction. Now last year alone, Joel gave back almost $300,000 in closing costs to buyers who worked with him and that puts Joe's volume in the top 1/10 of 1% of all lenders nationwide. In fact, out of 400,000 loan officers in the country, Joel is ranked number one 137. Now last year, he closed 619 transactions, his highest amount ever, for one year for almost $250 million. And already this year, Joel is close to 162 transactions for $106 million. Now if you're looking for a loan officer, we cannot more highly recommend Joel he's the very best we've ever worked with. PS I've worked with him too. And I say the same thing. Joel can be reached. By the way, here's his email address [email protected] J [email protected]. Or you can shoot him a text message or call him at 773-654-2049. Both of those ways to contact him are in our show notes. So you don't have to write that down. Just go to our show notes. And you can click and call or email there. Now let's say hello to the biggest Cubs fan. I know Joel Schaub welcome Joel



Joel Schaub 3:08adj, thanks so much for having me. It's crazy when you hear those numbers. But it's always so good to come on here and give back and actually share the insight that I've gotten from other real estate agents who call me. And every single time we do it, we really have a black.



D.J. Paris 3:24We do and we should start out by saying just yesterday, the the news that was being seen all over television and print and online, was of course that the Fed raised rates, raise rates, again, 75 basis points, so three quarters of a percent. And I know that you know I when I first saw that I thought oh, what does that mean? Meaning how does that affect me personally? How does it affect the real estate industry? How does it affect, you know, anything related to housing. And so I am excited to sort of get make sense of what that means and what agents can you can do with that information to help keep their business rolling.



Joel Schaub 4:05I'll break it down into two easy centers that you can have if you're an agent when you're talking to buyers, because agents really come to me and they go, how do I explain this? Right? And so, by the time this is happening, we're getting ready for another federal rate increase of short term rates. Okay, but let's stick with what happened yesterday, where we had a well choreographed increase of 75 basis points to the short term. And what that meant was it was already baked into mortgage rates. So people ask me all the time, how did mortgage rates not go up on a day where the Fed just raised rates 75 basis points. And as an agent, you can explain it to borrowers pretty easily. The Federal Reserve meets every six weeks, but the bond market reacts every single day and sometimes hourly, right? So the Federal Reserve increase was already baked into array So we saw them go up for sale, this announcement was already in the cards.



D.J. Paris 5:06Yeah, the you know, I think one thing that's that's way to explain that for agents is to realize that these these banks, these lenders are higher economists who are tracking the what the Fed is telegraphing through some of their meetings. I know this 75 basis point height increase was absolutely expected. All the news outlets were talking about it days before it even happened. And of course, you know, companies that live and die on rates, which, of course, are lenders, this is this is their whole entire existence is making sure they're aware of this. So the good news is, as as from what I understand, you're saying is rates really didn't move very much as of yesterday, because of the announcement.



Joel Schaub 5:48And then by the time that we're listening, we're already getting ready for the next federal rate increase. And so what we're going to see is pretty well choreographed another 75 basis point, hopefully, followed by a 50, and then a 25. So from here, we're gonna see another 150 basis points of increases. So they're not done yet. And what that means is, there's still going to be a little bit more pain in terms of mortgage rates, which right now are already over six and a half percent. But as soon as the Federal Reserve indicates that they have completed the rounds of increases, the big mistake and the big myth, it's wrong. And I'll tell you as agents right now, we don't need the Federal Reserve to cut rates for mortgage rates, the drop dead again, we're not waiting down the line for Federal Reserve's to cut the rate, as soon as next year happened. And they decide that they're done with the rate increases, mortgage rates are going to come down. And they're going to come down sharply. Okay, they don't know how long it's going to take. So I talked about it being next year. And that's really what the economists think, is that they will have this under control, that the Federal Reserve might not cut interest rates for two years, two and a half years. So we'll see exactly what happens. But as soon as they're done with the increases, DJ, we know that anybody who's buying today can refinance that mortgage. All right, so we go back to that one phrase, right, we're gonna marry the home and date the rate.



D.J. Paris 7:19Yeah, and, and so this idea, and that is such a great phrase, I kept I kept seeing this phrase over and over again, in the articles yesterday, you know, you marry the home, you date, the rate, it is such a great and imperfect, I remember back in the days, where there were even interest only loans, which I don't, I'm sure, maybe they still exist to some capacity these days. But they were very prominent, as you remember, back in the early 2000s. And, and people would that that was part of the pitch was like, hey, as rates move, you know, you can obviously refinance. And and that's something and also, I'm thinking as an agent, you know, if I'm thinking there's going to be more rate increases coming, which, you know, you seem to suggest, as is happening, that you're hearing another great reason to reach out to the buyers and say, hey, you know, rate increases aren't over yet. And if you are, you know, thinking about making a purchasing decision, it might actually be a good idea to get in sooner rather than later not to use that as a scare tactic. But just to explain, here's where here's where our economists think rates are headed. And if we can get in sooner, boy, that might actually help us plus a lot of buyers sitting on the sidelines. Oh, yeah. And when rates stabilized, we can always refinance down the road. And you know, and you're maybe not paying a premium for the homes that you would have made a paid a premium for back when rates were in, you know, much lower.



Joel Schaub 8:42I'll tell you a story. I'm glad you said that, by the way. DJs. Last week, I had several clients that knew that the federal increases were coming, right. And so what they wanted to do is they wanted to secure a rate even though they did not have a property. So I went down and I had probably five or six different clients that will buy sometime in the next couple of months. And what we're able to do is do a rate lock before the increase and make sure that their rate was locked in for 90 days. And what that allowed them to do was not so much with this increase because it was just last week, but it's going to insulate them over the next couple of months. So that when the next increases come,

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