Por: LibriVox

Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds is the fifth installment (published in 2012) in the National IntelligenceCouncil’s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. As with previouseditions, this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends andpotential discontinuities. It distinguishes between megatrends, those factors that will likely occurunder any scenario, and game-changers, critical variables whose trajectories are far less certain.As the diversity and complexity of various factors has grown, there isincreased attention to scenarios or alternative worlds.At a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures.the contention is presented that the future is not set in stone, but is malleable, the result of an interplayamong megatrends, game-changers and, above all, human agency. The ultimate goal is to encouragedecisionmakers—whether in government or outside—to think and plan for the long term so thatnegative futures do not occur and positive ones have a better chance of unfolding. (from the Executive Summary, lightly edited for clarity) - Summary by Patrick McHaffie

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