The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup

05/09/2025 42 min
The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup

Listen "The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup"

Episode Synopsis

This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and whether it’s time to be concerned about liquidity and Fed plumbing. Ultimately, everything leads us to one asset. Enjoy!



Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_





Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance



Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

__

Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LyoebYlP0p27AqN4mQKVMH6PuYFi9T73/view?usp=sharing



This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.





Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix





Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix



Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:07) Tyler Back to School

(02:48) DAS London

(04:24) Big Labor Market Week

(09:29) NFP Downside Surprise

(11:11) VanEck Ad

(11:57) NFP Downside Surprise

(14:04) September Cut Odds

(17:28) Bulled Up on Gold

(22:59) VanEck Ad

(24:21) Will Tariffs Get Overruled?

(28:35) Fed Plumbing Concerns

(36:39) Read on the Dollar

(39:25) Macro Recap

(41:34) Final Thoughts



Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.





#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

More episodes of the podcast Forward Guidance