Forex Daily Podcast - Thursday, February 16, 2006

16/02/2006 1 min
Forex Daily Podcast - Thursday, February 16, 2006

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Episode Synopsis


Today we are cautious of a reversal towards a weaker US dollar short term. Unless we get some accelation of a stronger USD move this morning, we may have to consider the moves ended on Feb 13th complete or at least entering into a more complex correction. In either case a weaker US dollar would be in play. The EUR, GBP, and CHF all count better as 3 wave moves from the Feb 13 bottom than 5 wave moves, which would tend to indicate a correction.

The EUR currently trades at 1.1853.
The GBP currently trades at 1.7332.
The CHF currently trades at 1.3143.

The JPY pulled back yesterday a bit below where we expected, which stopped me out of the currency a few pips above the low. On approach I was very patient so I had a very low risk entry, which allowed me to get back in and recover my loss, but I missed a large part of the move. I hope some of you were able to grab the entire move. The USD/JPY is in the same position as the rest of the currencies, unless we get some acceleration towards a stronger USD, the USD/JPY would likely move lower. Although some of the crosses EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY may see some strength which may make the move of the USD/JPY less in sync with the others. The JPY currently trades at 118.05

We were able to grab a trade down on the USD/CAD overnight using a stop just above the 1.1610 high, and a 100 pip target. A weaker USD should help this trade. The CAD currently trades at 1.1588.

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