Listen "HawthorneEffect2025josh_abner 2024"
Episode Synopsis
Summary
In this conversation, Josh Abner Vizcay discusses the principles of sports betting, emphasizing the importance of tracking performance, self-awareness, and utilizing statistical methods to improve decision-making. He explores the Hawthorne effect, evaluates his betting strategies, and shares insights on analyzing game outcomes and team dynamics. The conversation culminates in a reflection on the importance of learning from losses and the potential for future success in betting.
Takeaways
The Hawthorne effect shows that tracking performance improves results.
Self-awareness is crucial in assessing one's betting strategies.
Utilizing probability and statistics can enhance betting outcomes.
Evaluating losses helps in understanding whether they were due to bad luck or bad picks.
Long-term thinking is essential for successful betting.
Excuses are detrimental to success in betting and life.
Compounding profits is a key strategy in betting.
Understanding team dynamics can influence betting decisions.
It's important to stay informed about team changes and player conditions.
Making decisions without needing to be right 80% of the time is a realistic approach.
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