Speculation Rising, Breadth Weakening: A Tactical Rebalance

01/08/2025 9 min Episodio 21
Speculation Rising, Breadth Weakening: A Tactical Rebalance

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Episode Synopsis

This week’s episode covers:U.S.–EU trade deal impact and the new 15% tariff baselineMargin debt surges—5th fastest rise since 1998 (source: Deutsche Bank)Fed and ECB hold steady, but tone remains cautiousBreadth weakening beneath the surface despite equity highsTrimming gold, watching silver/platinum and volatility signalsJuly portfolio performance + positioning adjustmentsWhat we’re watching: CTA trends, EMFX momentum, and central bank shiftsReferenced Sources:Deutsche Bank Macro Strategy NotesSentimenTrader Momentum/Breadth IndicatorsMRB Partners EM Currency ResearchDantes Outlook internal trend models & analyticsConnect with us to access portfolios:DantesOutlook.com/connect