Global Macro Update: The Fed Isn’t Easing—And Bitcoin Doesn’t Care

04/06/2025 27 min Episodio 180
Global Macro Update: The Fed Isn’t Easing—And Bitcoin Doesn’t Care

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Episode Synopsis

In this episode, Nik breaks down the current macro landscape through the lens of Bitcoin, interest rates, and market liquidity. He shares new insights from TBL’s proprietary liquidity index, revealing how quarterly cycles in the Treasury market are shaping Bitcoin’s price behavior. Nik also unpacks key valuation metrics like the Mayer Multiple and MVRV, and explains why Bitcoin’s current range suggests a stable foundation. The update covers bond volatility, yield curve dynamics, Fed expectations, gold, oil, and the dollar—placing it all within the broader context of a global monetary reset. 📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 899,704 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: [email protected] Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrballResearcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt Chapters:00:00:00 Bitcoin Price and Global Macro Overview  00:02:58 Treasury Market's Impact on Stocks and Bitcoin00:05:44 Revaluing the Economy in Bitcoin00:08:24 Analyzing Bitcoin Valuation with Mayor Multiple00:11:33 Understanding Bitcoin's Cost Basis and MVRV  00:14:30 Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Growth Analysis00:17:21 Understanding the Steepening Yield Curve and Economic Signals00:20:27 Yield Curve Insights: Signal Loss and Economic Indicators00:23:10 Understanding Bretton Woods 3 and the Monetary Reset00:26:08 Anticipated U.S. Regulation on Currency Manipulation
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