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Listen "034 NFL bets/ making good forecasts"
Episode Synopsis
Does Bill Simmons make super forecasts? Let's look at his NFL podcast preview and see. We'll look at:
1/ Finding good value and not obvious winners.
2/ Stay away when things are too hard.
3/ Mean reversion when randomness abounds.
4/ SITG.
5/ Invert (always invert!).
6/ What are the full range of outcomes?
1/ Finding good value and not obvious winners.
2/ Stay away when things are too hard.
3/ Mean reversion when randomness abounds.
4/ SITG.
5/ Invert (always invert!).
6/ What are the full range of outcomes?
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