Listen "US election: "A model doesn't spend all day on Twitter""
Episode Synopsis
With the most consequential US election in decades looming, Medley Advisors are releasing three discussions between Madelynn Einhorn and three renowned electoral-data experts to consider the outcome. In this podcast, Madelynn talks to Lakshya Jain - the co-founder of the Split Ticket election-analysis site. A machine-learning engineer by training, Lakshya Jain (and his Split Ticket colleagues) burst onto the election-prediction scene during the 2022 midterms as the head of a new generation of political-data analysts."The wisdom of the crowd is not exactly a fully quantitative approach," he says. "A model doesn't spend all day on Twitter. It doesn't react to news. It doesn't react to insiders panicking and whatnot ... Betting markets are more influenced by news events and narratives about the vibe of the race, whereas models are not".
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