September 3, 2025: Beijing's Victory Day parade, Mercosur's Endgame, Rayner's Tax Storm, French Political Turmoil, & Berlin's Budget Crunch

03/09/2025 17 min

Listen "September 3, 2025: Beijing's Victory Day parade, Mercosur's Endgame, Rayner's Tax Storm, French Political Turmoil, & Berlin's Budget Crunch"

Episode Synopsis

On this episode, we unpack a day of high stakes and political intrigue across Europe and beyond. The EU is set to finalize a "historic" trade deal with Mercosur after 25 years, despite French opposition over agricultural concerns, navigating this with internal European safeguards to appease farmers. We also examine the role of Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič, who is not only presenting this deal but also facing scrutiny for reportedly blocking a Google penalty amid fears of Trump's trade retaliation.In the UK, Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner is embroiled in controversy, admitting she "did not pay the appropriate stamp duty" on a flat, prompting an ethics investigation and questions about tax liabilities, even as Keir Starmer pledges his full support. Meanwhile, the UK government is considering revising hate speech laws to prevent arrests for "unpleasant tweets," following calls from the Met Police Commissioner and Health Secretary to focus on "streets not tweets". Adding to Westminster's woes, security guards are on strike over pay and conditions, claiming they are paid the same as coffee shop staff despite the risks they face.France is gripped by political instability as Prime Minister François Bayrou faces a confidence vote that could mark his last Council of Ministers meeting. President Emmanuel Macron is already strategizing for a "post-Bayrou" era, seeking broader alliances while the National Rally prepares for potential snap legislative elections, which former President Nicolas Sarkozy believes are the "only possible clarification" for the deadlock. In Germany, a critical "black-red summit" convenes at the Chancellery to tackle "trustful cooperation," with proposals for €1.5-3 billion in unemployment benefit (Bürgergeld) cuts and efforts to close a €30 billion budget gap for 2027.Internationally, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico's meeting with Vladimir Putin in Beijing to discuss "standardization of relations" and secure gas supplies raises eyebrows in Brussels, especially as the EU aims to end Russian fossil fuel imports. This comes as Ukrainian drone strikes continue to severely impact Russian oil refineries, causing domestic fuel shortages and forcing Moscow to extend petrol export bans, a tactic seen by EU Ambassador Katarína Mathernová as an effective form of "sanctions". This all unfolds against the backdrop of Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pictured together publicly for the first time at a Victory Day parade.

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