Right before releasing o3, OpenAI updated its Preparedness Framework to 2.0.

I previously wrote an analysis of the Preparedness Framework 1.0. I still stand by essentially everything I wrote in that analysis, which I reread to prepare before reading the 2.0 framework. If you want to dive deep, I recommend starting there, as this post will focus on changes from 1.0 to 2.0.

As always, I thank OpenAI for the document, and laying out their approach and plans.

I have several fundamental disagreements with the thinking behind this document.

In particular:

The Preparedness Framework only applies to specific named and measurable things that might go wrong. It requires identification of a particular threat model that is all of: Plausible, measurable, severe, net new and (instantaneous or irremediable).

The Preparedness Framework thinks ‘ordinary’ mitigation defense-in-depth strategies will be sufficient to handle High-level threats and likely even Critical-level [...] ---Outline:(02:05) Persuaded to Not Worry About It(08:55) The Medium Place(10:40) Thresholds and Adjustments(16:08) Release the Kraken Anyway, We Took Precautions(20:16) Misaligned!(23:47) The Safeguarding Process(26:43) But Mom, Everyone Is Doing It(29:36) Mission Critical(30:37) Research Areas(32:26) Long-Range Autonomy(32:51) Sandbagging(33:18) Replication and Adaptation(34:07) Undermining Safeguards(35:30) Nuclear and Radiological(35:53) Measuring Capabilities(38:06) Questions of Governance(41:10) Don't Be Nervous, Don't Be Flustered, Don't Be Scared, Be Prepared ---
First published:
May 2nd, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MsojzMC4WwxX3hjPn/openai-preparedness-framework-2-0
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