Will macroeconomic shocks lead to business cycle recession?

06/05/2025 53 min
Will macroeconomic shocks lead to business cycle recession?

Listen "Will macroeconomic shocks lead to business cycle recession?"

Episode Synopsis

The importance of asset allocation and how investors can achieve alpha, according to James Kostohryz (1:40). 3 major shocks facing the US economy (4:30). Why Q1 GDP number was actually good (11:00). Iran, Israel, the US, and global oil prices (17:00). Look closely at monthly economic data, especially weekly jobless claims (28:10). No longer bullish on gold (33:20). (SDS) and going short on implied volatility (35:15). How dependent the US is on international trade, China in particular (41:50).Show Notes:Gold Is No Longer Safe: Why I'm Taking Profits On Gold And MinersWill War Trigger A Bear Market And Spike In Oil?Show transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions