Momentum, Forward Returns, Investor Behavior, and Credit Liquidity

16/08/2025 3 min Episodio 23
Momentum, Forward Returns, Investor Behavior, and Credit Liquidity

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Episode Synopsis

Market Breadth: NYSE advancers outpaced decliners 4-to-1, suggesting resilience beneath the equity rally (SentimenTrader).Macro Signals: Inflation remains domestically driven; Fed unlikely to cut quickly. U.S. dollar regains strength versus peers (DeepMacro).Dantes Outlook Positioning: Trimmed active tilts, maintaining preference for U.S. equities while adding emerging markets. Funded by profits in gold and inflation hedges. Launched tactical semiconductor strategy based on momentum signals.Bond Market Evolution: Portfolio trading volumes in U.S. corporate bonds surged 54% in H1 2025, boosting liquidity and efficiency (Barclays).Investor Behavior: Morningstar’s “Mind the Gap” shows investors underperform funds by ~1.2% annually due to timing mistakes.Forward-Looking Markets: Historical data shows equities often rebound after major payroll revisions, underscoring how markets anticipate economic shifts (Fidelity).Visit us at www.dantesoutlook.com