Stock Multiple Rerating – The Yield Curve Message

06/02/2022 32 min Episodio 154
Stock Multiple Rerating – The Yield Curve Message

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Episode Synopsis

Derek Moore discusses how the recent selloff is due to a multiple contraction rather than an earnings one. How 2021 and now so far in Q1 22 stocks are rerating by shrinking the multiple. Plus, what the shape of the yield curve is telling us in light of expected Fed action on interest rates.   Driver of stock prices multiple declines vs earnings expansion PE Ratios coming down on a forward basis Earnings estimates on the S&P 500 Index for 2022 only shrink nominally What is the yield curve Yield curve steepness vs inversion What the yield curve is telling us about views on continued economic expansion Inversions before recessions Inflation breakeven rates Probability of Fed hikes updated       Mentioned in this Episode:   Contact Derek Moore [email protected]   Derek Moore's Book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547?ref_=nav_signin&   Marcel Benjamin explains how TIPS bonds work https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tips-inflation-protected-bonds-explained-interest-rate/id1432836154?i=1000535445537   JP Morgan Guide to the markets https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/protected/adv/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/   Fed Rate Probability Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

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