QUIET SESSION AHEAD OF POWELL, BOWMAN AND LAGARDE

22/07/2025 14 min

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Episode Synopsis

Market OverviewU.S. Equities: Slightly lower open; NASDAQ -22pts, S&P 500 -1pt, Dow -65pts.Europe: Underperforming – EuroStoxx 50 down ~1%, DAX down over 1%.Bonds: Pullback after yesterday’s rally. 30Y yield ~4.95%, 10Y ~4.38%, 2Y ~3.86%. Yield curve still steepening amid Powell resignation rumors.Crypto:Bitcoin +1.4% ($119K)Ethereum -2%Crypto-related stocks (BITX +4%, Mara/Riot +1-2%, Bitfarms +6%)Commodities:Gold, silver, and oil all down ~1%.Currencies: Flat across the board; JPY steady despite rising Japanese yields.Powell: Speaking today (8:30 AM); not expected to address resignation rumors or Fed independence under political pressure.Baumann & Lagarde: Speaking at 1 PM. ECB in blackout period before upcoming meeting – no surprises expected.BOJ: Gradual rate hike path continues despite political setbacks; rate to stay at 0.5% for now.Nvidia: Down – good for short position.Google: Up again after 2.8% rally yesterday; earnings tomorrow.Apple: +0.3%, Tesla: flat, Meta: +1.5%, Amazon: +0.39%.Crypto stocks: Strong moves pre-market.Solana ETF: +5% after +20% yesterday.Nuclear stocks: Bouncing after yesterday’s drop (Oklo +2%, SMR +1%).Today’s Earnings:SAP, Intuitive, Capital One, Coca-Cola, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, RTX, DR Horton, MSCI, Pulte, and others.Ongoing global tariff talks:Japan-US: 2-hour meeting – aiming for common ground.India-US: No trade deal expected by Aug 1.Malaysia-US: Disagreements over EV tax breaks.Canada-US: Discussed defense, no major news.Market overextended but holding up on bullish sentiment.Watching Google/Tesla earnings as major catalysts.Fed steepening trade still in play amid potential Powell exit.Monitoring miners, Chinese stocks, and nuclear sector rebounds.Keeping an eye on 9% dividend-yield stock IPO and OpenDoor retracement setup.Fed & Central BanksStocks & EarningsGeopolitics & TradeKey Themes & Strategy

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