Hindsight Bias

06/05/2025 5 min

Listen "Hindsight Bias"

Episode Synopsis

Hindsight bias, also known as the "I-knew-it-all-along" effect, is the tendency for people to perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were before they occurred. It involves a distortion of memory where individuals mistakenly believe that they would have predicted an outcome or known the correct answer all along, despite not having done so.I knew it all along... right? 🔮🧐 The illusion thatevents were predictable—after they’ve already happened.For more mental models, please visit www.mentalmodelsdaily.com Get the full list at https://tinyurl.com/mentalmodelsdailyFollow us:X: @mindmodelsdaily https://x.com/mindmodelsdaily Instagram: @mentalmodelsdaily https://www.instagram.com/mentalmodelsdaily/ Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@MentalModelsDaily/podcasts Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1f0qi12saeBEJmtnjOSszg Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.co.uk/podcasts/6da552cf-1714-45ce-b302-7c6c69386fc3/mental-models-dailyApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/mental-models-daily/id1754257683Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/Mental-Models-Daily-id6203840?country=usiHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-mental-models-daily-189536773/Our Podcast music was provided by The Podcast Host and Alitu: The Podcast Maker app.

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